Democrats have had a rough year, to put it mildly.
Infighting between various factions of the party have brought longstanding disagreements into focus and what the public has seen is a party wildly out of touch with most Americans.
Now, a shocking new poll revealed what people really think about House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
A brand new poll from the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) shows that barely a third of Americans view the Speaker favorably.
Pelosi now sports a favorability rating of 34%, with 48% disapproval for a net favorability of -14 percent.
This marks a decrease from February when Pelosi had a 41% approval rating.
Other Democrats had numbers that, while still bad, aren’t as toxic – with President Biden at 44% approval and Vice President Kamala Harris at 41%.
Pelosi’s numbers have declined precipitously, likely because of corruption.
Recently, Congressional stock trading has come under fire and in 2021, Pelosi’s husband Paul traded stocks valued at up to $5 million in Big Tech, such as Apple, Amazon, Tesla, and Microsoft stocks.
NRCC Spokesperson Mike Berg says, “Nancy Pelosi is the most toxic politician in the country. Every Democrat who has supported her agenda, which is every single one, is in for a rough campaign.”
On a more superficial level, Pelosi has also gone viral for her alarming appearance.
Republican Congressional Candidate Earl Webber says, “The only things higher than Biden’s runaway inflation and gas prices are Nancy Pelosi’s eyebrows.”
The only things higher than Biden’s runaway inflation and gas prices are Nancy Pelosi’s eyebrows.https://t.co/8Bc2FbdGOy
— Errol Webber (@ErrolWebber) January 10, 2022
In late November, Pelosi sent a letter to donors and grassroots supporters saying House Democrats are poised to maintain a majority in 2022 and are preparing for victory despite a number of retirements and bad polling for Democrats.
That may be wishful thinking though.
According to psephologist Amy Walter of The Cook Political Report, “In every midterm election since 2006, the party in the White House has seen its share of the two-party House vote (the popular vote for the House) drop by anywhere from 6.5 to 17 points from the previous presidential election. Currently, RealClear Politics shows Republicans ahead by 3.6 points in the generic ballot tracker. If that holds up through Election Day, it will represent a 6.6 percent positive shift to Republicans from 2020 (Democrats won the national House vote by 3.1 points in 2020). So, what would a 6.6 point shift to the right look like? At a very crude level, we could say that it would shift the 2020 vote margin in every CD, about 7 points more Republican. So, for example, a district that Biden carried 52 percent to 45 percent (+7) would become a jump ball (50-50) in 2022. Or, a better way to think of it is that any district that Biden carried by less than 7 points would be in danger of flipping to the GOP.”
There are currently 21 districts where Biden’s margin was less than 7 points in the last election and of those 21, Republicans currently represent eight in Congress.
This means that on paper Republicans are well positioned to gain an additional 13 seats (on top of the eight they already hold) just because of Biden and the Democrats’ current polling woes.
It’s not over until it’s over and individual campaigns matter, but at this point, you have to like Republicans’ odds of retaking the House better than the odds for Democrats to maintain control after the November elections.
The 82-year-old Speaker of the House has led House Democrats since 2003.
If Pelosi loses her Speakership through a change in partisan control of Congress, it would be for the second time, as she became Minority Leader after the first midterm elections during the Obama administration when Republicans swept into power in a historic landslide.
Stay tuned to Blue State Blues for any updates to this ongoing story.